Tech and Digital Media

Sunday, January 1, 2023

[New post] NATO can’t prove that its policy in Ukraine is the best as long as political realists have a competing theory about the war that’s at least equally convincing

Site logo image AndreasWinsnes posted: " Liberal governing elites in the West have for over a century argued that militant activists should not use violence against corporations or the government, because these elites claim that physical force is only justified if there is a direct threat that " Big Tech Drone and IoT Surveillance

NATO can't prove that its policy in Ukraine is the best as long as political realists have a competing theory about the war that's at least equally convincing

AndreasWinsnes

Jan 1

Liberal governing elites in the West have for over a century argued that militant activists should not use violence against corporations or the government, because these elites claim that physical force is only justified if there is a direct threat that can only be stopped by using violence in order to protect innocent people against an imminent attack. If a conflict is large and complex however, they argue that political violence is not justified, since it may lead to unforeseen consequences that are very harmful in the long run. The Ukraine War is an extremely complex situation, so NATO better have a very good theory of why it's necessary to risk WW3, a nuclear holocaust, when interfering militarily in this conflict, a conflict that originally started as a small civil war in the eastern part of Ukraine.

NATO claims that it was necessary to intervene militarily, by giving smart weapons and battlefield intelligence to Ukraine, when Russia attacked Ukraine in Feb 2022, but this ignores the very long run-up to this tragic war, a conflict that started when NATO began to expand eastward in 1999. A development which political realists said was risky and dangerous, a fateful error, in the words of George Kennan in 1997. I'm not going to repeat all the realist arguments presented elsewhere here on drone-surveillance.info, but a quick summary of the realist position is clarifying:

1) NATO should not have expanded to begin with in the late 1990s, because it had a very destabilizing effect in Europe, as proven by the Ukraine War, 2) after the overthrow of the democratically elected president Yanukovych in 2014, Ukraine should have remained a genuinely neutral country, like Switzerland, without any security guarantees from Western major powers, because such guarantees are in reality a pro-Western alliance, not true neutrality, 3) once the war started, NATO countries should have deescalated this unnecessary war that could have been easily avoided if Western diplomats had been sensible prior to Russia's clearly unethical invasion of Ukraine, 4) now the war has escalated to a point where political realists think it's unlikely that a diplomatic solution is possible, since both Russia and NATO have invested so much in the war that both refuse to back down, and 5) political realists only warn against NATO's involvement in the Ukraine War because it can lead to a nuclear holocaust, which means that realists would basically not have cared about this war unless there was a risk of WW3, similar to how we would not have cared much if NATO had interfered in less consequential wars, in Ethiopia or Yemen for example, so the realist position is not anti-NATO in itself but instead very skeptical when NATO's expansionism goes so far that it can trigger a nuclear war.

To learn more about the realist narrative watch this excellent presentation:

John J. Mearsheimer: Great Power Politics in the 21st Century & The Implications for Hungary

NATO is using violence, when sending smart weapons that escalate the war in Ukraine, so NATO has the burden of proof when claiming that this belligerent policy is the best one. NATO however can't prove that its own policy is the best in Ukraine as long as neocons/neoliberals are unable to refute the narrative presented by political realists. This competing narrative is not easily refuted, as proven by the fact that political realism is one of the two main schools in political science, and Mearsheimer, a professor at the University of Chigaco, is invited to debates organized by Western elites, as seen here for example. It sows doubt about NATO's policy in Ukraine when neocons/neoliberals are not able to refute the realist narrative, and this unavoidable doubt is (arguably) sufficient to show that NATO should not use violence in Ukraine, since the conflict is large and very complex with unforeseen consequences that can be extremely harmful: nuclear war.

US-led NATO has clearly shown its incompetency, in the Middle East after 2001, so if you still believe that NATO has a right to violently interfere in complex and large conflicts, then it follows logically that militant activists may have the same right to use violence beyond the clear limits set by the judicial rules of necessity and self-defense in Western penal codes.

Comment
Like
Tip icon image You can also reply to this email to leave a comment.

Unsubscribe to no longer receive posts from Big Tech Drone and IoT Surveillance.
Change your email settings at manage subscriptions.

Trouble clicking? Copy and paste this URL into your browser:
http://drone-surveillance.info/2023/01/01/nato-cant-prove-that-its-policy-in-ukraine-is-the-best-as-long-as-political-realists-have-a-competing-theory-about-the-war-thats-at-least-equally-convincing/

Powered by WordPress.com
Download on the App Store Get it on Google Play
at January 01, 2023
Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest

No comments:

Post a Comment

Newer Post Older Post Home
Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

[New post] ‘Everyone Is Freaking Out’: Disney Explores Sale of ABC Network and Stations Amid Financial Challenges

...

  • [New post] ‘Everyone Is Freaking Out’: Disney Explores Sale of ABC Network and Stations Amid Financial Challenges
    ...
  • [New post] Asus is recruiting Android 12 beta testers for Zenfone 8
    Top Tech posted: " The Zenfone 8 announced in May with Android 11 already got a couple of Android 12 beta builds, but those...
  • [New post] Xiaomi’s Mi Smart Band 6 NFC is finally available in Europe officially
    Tech News For Today posted: "Xiaomi's Mi Smart Band 6 NFC is finally available in Europe officially At Xiaomi's bi...

Search This Blog

  • Home

About Me

Tech and Digital Media
View my complete profile

Report Abuse

Labels

  • 【ANDROID STUDIO】navigation
  • 【FLUTTER ANDROID STUDIO and IOS】backdrop filter widget
  • 【GAMEMAKER】Scroll Text
  • 【PYTHON】split train test
  • 【Visual Studio Visual Csharp】Message Box
  • 【Visual Studio Visual VB net】Taskbar properties
  • 【Vuejs】add dynamic tab labels labels exceed automatic scrolling

Blog Archive

  • September 2023 (502)
  • August 2023 (987)
  • July 2023 (954)
  • June 2023 (1023)
  • May 2023 (1227)
  • April 2023 (1057)
  • March 2023 (985)
  • February 2023 (900)
  • January 2023 (1040)
  • December 2022 (1072)
  • November 2022 (1145)
  • October 2022 (1151)
  • September 2022 (1071)
  • August 2022 (1097)
  • July 2022 (1111)
  • June 2022 (1117)
  • May 2022 (979)
  • April 2022 (1013)
  • March 2022 (982)
  • February 2022 (776)
  • January 2022 (681)
  • December 2021 (1197)
  • November 2021 (3156)
  • October 2021 (3212)
  • September 2021 (3140)
  • August 2021 (3271)
  • July 2021 (3205)
  • June 2021 (2984)
  • May 2021 (732)
Powered by Blogger.