It's just simple math that a country that has the most soldiers in addition to battlefield intelligence and unending supply of advanced (smart) weapons from NATO countries will eventually win the Ukraine War if Russia doesn't order general mobilization.
Ukraine can finally declare victory on the day its largest cities have superior air defense systems that can stop Russia's terror bombing. By the way, it's certainly true that Putin can be designated as a terrorist, but then it logically follows that Churchill, Roosevelt and Truman were also terrorists, in WW2: Dresden, Tokyo, Hiroshima.
Churchill, the terrorist.
If Western news about Russian losses are true, then it's only a matter of time before Ukraine retakes almost all of southern and eastern Ukraine. From the beginning, the silly orcs didn't destroy enough weapon supply lines from Western countries, and now the poor attackers suffer because of this big mistake. How sad…
Kremlin appears to have been fooled by the incrementalism of neoliberals and neocons who have gradually increased heavy weapons sent to Ukraine. By the way, Beijing has probably learned from this incrementalism in Ukraine that the US must quickly get a bloody nose in Taiwan, because if you give Washington an inch, then neolibs and neocons will gradually take a mile and then some.
I guess the Russians will not be kicked out of Ukraine any earlier than next summer (or maybe in 2025). Kremlin is betting that freezing and unemployed Europeans will start massive riots against Truss, Scholtz, Macron (and Biden) in January or so. It's not a safe bet, though not an entirely bad one either.
The Russians are getting RS-28 Sarmat and Belgorod submarines in order this autumn. Kremlin can rest on its nuclear laurels, and it's therefore understandable and very human that even the siloviki will postpone playing this very destructive trump card as long as possible. But all in all it's probably a 50% to 75% chance that London and US coasts will be hit by nukes or a new pandemic in the 2020s, if things keep escalating as they do now.
If you want to see the woke/libertine AI robot panopticon destroyed as early as possible, and if you want to avoid a boring stalemate war in Ukraine, then hope that 1) Ukraine quickly gets more weapons, so that the war becomes more dynamic and frightfully exciting, and 2) the US gets more aggressive and pushy in Taiwan. It's the fastest highway to WW3 in the 2020s.
The above risk assessment might be wrong, but I'll be surprised if it's not correct. I'll then be happy of course but ask: what on Earth has happened to the Russians? How did they lose their spine?
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